By George MacLean
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Additional info for Between Actor and Presence: The European Union and the Future for the Transatlantic Relationship
3 (July 1994): 438. 35. As I argued in my "The Why and How of EU Enlargement," UBC Institute for International Relations Working Paper, 1997. See also Grabbe and Hughes, Eastward Enlargement, 12, who suggest that 2006 is the likely date for the most advanced of the candidates and that some will not be admitted for a decade or more. ," 38, projects 2015 as the earliest date for enlargement. On page 34, he argues in favour of a long pre-accession period because allowing exemptions and the like to get the GEE states in early will create a multi-speed Europe, which will jeopardize the achievements of the EU.
Furthermore, in the case of agriculture, the increase in price levels required in applicant countries to meet EU price levels might engender social and political unrest. In addition to this there is the worry among many in the EU that the introduction of the CAP into these countries will perpetuate or even encourage an emphasis on agriculture (the opposite of the intention of the CAP and of the accession of these countries). On the other hand, measures taken to mitigate the implications for the CAP are more often than not synonyms for CAP reform, a notion that is highly controversial within the EU and opposed by a number of current member states, particularly, but not exclusively, France.
Though the institutions no longer exist, old habits die hard. 15 The diversity of strengths and weaknesses of economies across Europe is exacerbated by enlargement and creates significant difficulties for policy areas with common policy frameworks, because new members might have a significant comparative advantage in some areas. The difficult negotiations toward the Europe Agreements between the EU and some of the GEE states over textiles and steel in particular suggest that in these areas enlargement will be negotiated with difficulty.